Papers by Alejandro Lopez-Lira
Same Claim, Different Judgment: Benchmarking Scenario-Induced Bias in Multilingual Financial Misinformation Detection (2026.findings-acl)
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Zhiwei Liu, Yupeng Cao, Yuechen Jiang, Mohsinul Kabir, Polydoros Giannouris, Chen Xu, Ziyang Xu, Tianlei Zhu, Md. Tariquzzaman, Triantafillos Papadopoulos, Yan Wang, Lingfei Qian, Xueqing Peng, Zhuohan Xie, Ye Yuan, Saeed Almheiri, Abdulrazzaq Alnajjar, Ming-Bin Chen, Harry Stuart, Paul Thompson, Prayag Tiwari, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Xue Liu, Jimin Huang, Sophia Ananiadou
| Challenge: | Existing research on LLM biases has focused on direct questioning or general-purpose settings . pronounced behavioral biase despite their growing deployment in financial analysis, forecasting, and decision support. |
| Approach: | They propose a benchmark to evaluate behavioral biases of large language models in MFMD . they use a multilingual financial misinformation dataset to integrate these with misinformation claims . |
| Outcome: | The proposed benchmark evaluates behavioral biases of large language models across economic scenarios. |
All That Glisters Is Not Gold: A Benchmark for Reference-Free Counterfactual Financial Misinformation Detection (2026.acl-long)
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Yuechen Jiang, Zhiwei Liu, Yupeng Cao, Yueru He, Ziyang Xu, Chen Xu, Zhiyang Deng, Prayag Tiwari, Xi Chen, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Jimin Huang, Junichi Tsujii, Sophia Ananiadou
| Challenge: | RFC-Bench evaluates large language models on financial misinformation under realistic news . current models struggle to maintain coherent belief states without external grounding, study finds . |
| Approach: | They propose a benchmark for evaluating large language models on financial misinformation under realistic news. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model performs better when context is available, while reference-free settings expose significant weaknesses. |
MultiFinBen: Benchmarking Large Language Models for Multilingual and Multimodal Financial Application (2026.acl-long)
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Xueqing Peng, Lingfei Qian, Yan Wang, Ruoyu Xiang, Yueru He, Yang Ren, Mingyang Jiang, Vincent Jim Zhang, Yuqing Guo, Jeff Zhao, Huan He, Yi Han, Yun Feng, Yuechen Jiang, Yupeng Cao, Haohang Li, Yangyang Yu, Xiaoyu Wang, Penglei Gao, Shengyuan Lin, Keyi Wang, Shanshan Yang, Yilun Zhao, Zhiwei Liu, Peng Lu, Jerry Huang, Suyuchen Wang, Triantafillos Papadopoulos, Polydoros Giannouris, Efstathia Soufleri, Nuo Chen, Zhiyang Deng, Heming Fu, Yijia Zhao, Mingquan Lin, Meikang Qiu, Kaleb E Smith, Arman Cohan, Xiao-Yang Liu, Jimin Huang, Guojun Xiong, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Xi Chen, Junichi Tsujii, Jian-Yun Nie, Sophia Ananiadou, Qianqian Xie
| Challenge: | Existing evaluations of LLMs in finance are text-only, monolingual, and largely saturated by current models. |
| Approach: | They propose a multilingual and multimodal benchmark for evaluating LLMs in real financial contexts. |
| Outcome: | The first expert-annotated multilingual and multimodal benchmark is released . it evaluates 21 leading LLMs and shows they perform better in multilingual settings . |
LLM as a Risk Manager: LLM Semantic Filtering for Lead–Lag Trading in Prediction Markets (2026.acl-industry)
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Sumin Kim, Minjae Kim, Jihoon Kwon, Yoon Kim, Oscar Levy, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Yongjae Lee, Chanyeol Choi
| Challenge: | Prediction markets provide a unique setting where event-level time series are directly tied to natural-language descriptions, yet discovering robust lead–lag relationships remains challenging due to spurious statistical correlations. |
| Approach: | They propose a statistical stage that uses Granger causality to identify candidate leader–follower pairs from market-implied probability time series and an LLM-based semantic stage that re-ranks these candidates by assessing whether the proposed direction admits a plausible economic transmission mechanism. |
| Outcome: | The proposed approach consistently outperforms the statistical baseline on Kalshi Economics markets. |