ForestCast: Open-Ended Event Forecasting with Semantic News Forest (2025.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Existing approaches and datasets overlook the complex relationships among events . current research lacks comprehensive evaluation methods to evaluate OEEF . |
| Approach: | They propose a prediction pipeline that extracts forecast-relevant events from news data . forestcast organizes news events into a story tree and predicts subsequent events along each path . |
| Outcome: | The proposed pipeline extracts forecast-relevant events from news data and predicts subsequent events along each path. |
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| Challenge: | Existing closed-ended event forecasting methods are constrained by a limited answer space. |
| Approach: | They introduce OpenForecast, a large-scale open-ended dataset with three open-ending event forecasting tasks and an automatic LLM-based method for complex events. |
| Outcome: | The proposed method can be used to evaluate the ability of complex event forecasting of large language models. |
BeLeaf: Belief Prediction as Tree Generation (2024.naacl-demo)
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| Challenge: | a novel approach to predicting source-and-target factuality is presented . our linearized tree generation task fully accounts for the factuity tree structure . |
| Approach: | They propose a linearized tree generation task which fully accounts for factuality . they then create a system which leverages the linearized representation to create visualizations . |
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Forecasting Future International Events: A Reliable Dataset for Text-Based Event Modeling (2024.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Existing approaches for text-based event prediction are limited in quality due to dynamic nature of international relations and conflicting economic dynamics. |
| Approach: | They propose a novel dataset that leverages the advanced reasoning capabilities of large-language models to address these limitations. |
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Event-Driven Learning of Systematic Behaviours in Stock Markets (2020.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Using financial news, we can predict stock market behaviours by extracting financial events from the news and ranking the importance of the events. |
| Approach: | They propose to combine open information extraction and neural co-reference resolution to extract financial events from news streams and extend hierarchical attention networks that include attentions on event, news and temporal levels. |
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Text2Event: Controllable Sequence-to-Structure Generation for End-to-end Event Extraction (2021.acl-long)
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| Challenge: | Existing methods to extract event records from text decompose complex structure prediction task into multiple subtasks. |
| Approach: | They propose a sequence-to-structure generation paradigm that can extract events from text . they propose unified event extraction, constrained decoding algorithm and curriculum learning algorithm . |
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Scattered Hypothesis Generation for Open-Ended Event Forecasting (2026.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Existing methods for event forecasting focus on the most probable outcomes, neglecting the intrinsic uncertainty of real-world events. |
| Approach: | They propose a reinforcement learning framework that optimizes inclusiveness and diversity of the hypothesis by integrating validity-gated score into the overall objective. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework outperforms baselines on two real-world benchmark datasets. |
Using LLM for Improving Key Event Discovery: Temporal-Guided News Stream Clustering with Event Summaries (2023.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Using hierarchical Dirichlet processes, we characterize news articles associated with key events from news streams. |
| Approach: | They propose a generic framework for news stream clustering that analyzes the temporal trend of news articles to automatically extract the underlying key news events that draw significant media attention. |
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NGEP: A Graph-based Event Planning Framework for Story Generation (2022.aacl-short)
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| Challenge: | Current approaches to story generation are based on end-to-end neural generation models, such as BART, to generate event sequences. |
| Approach: | They propose a novel event planning framework which generates an event sequence by performing inference on an automatically constructed event graph and enhances generalisation ability through a neural event advisor. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) event planning approaches on multiple criteria and compares with existing models on the downstream task of story generation. |
An AMR-based Link Prediction Approach for Document-level Event Argument Extraction (2023.acl-long)
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| Challenge: | Recent work has introduced Abstract Meaning Representation (AMR) for Document-level Event Argument Extraction (Doc-level EAE) however, in these works AMR is used only implicitly, for instance, as additional features or training signals. |
| Approach: | They propose a novel AMR-based graph structure which uses graph neural networks to find event arguments from unstructured text. |
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Event-Centric Natural Language Processing (2021.acl-tutorials)
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| Challenge: | This tutorial will provide an introduction to various methods for automating the extraction, conceptualization and prediction of events and their relations. |
| Approach: | This tutorial will provide an introduction to various methods for automating events and their relations, and a wide range of NLU and commonsense understanding tasks. |
| Outcome: | This tutorial will provide an introduction to various methods for automating extraction, conceptualization and prediction of events and their relations, and a wide range of NLU and commonsense understanding tasks. |