| Challenge: | Existing models for uncertainty measurement are time-consuming and unable to handle large-scale data sets. |
| Approach: | They propose a new dropout-entropy method for uncertainty measurement and a metric learning method on feature representations to boost the performance of dropout based uncertainty methods. |
| Outcome: | The proposed method improves accuracy from 0.78 to 0.92 when 30% of the most uncertain predictions were handed over to human experts in “20NewsGroup” data. |
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Towards More Accurate Uncertainty Estimation In Text Classification (2020.emnlp-main)
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Jianfeng He, Xuchao Zhang, Shuo Lei, Zhiqian Chen, Fanglan Chen, Abdulaziz Alhamadani, Bei Xiao, ChangTien Lu
| Challenge: | Existing models of uncertainty score depend on winning score, which is the maximum probability in a semantic vector. |
| Approach: | They propose to generate accurate uncertainty score by improving the confidence of winning scores by reducing the effect of overconfidence of winning score and considering the impact of different categories simultaneously. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model reduces the effect of overconfidence of winning score and considers impact of different categories of uncertainty simultaneously. |
Efficient, Uncertainty-based Moderation of Neural Networks Text Classifiers (2022.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | A series of benchmarking experiments based on three different datasets and three state-of-the-art classifiers show that our framework can improve the classification F1-scores by 5.1 to 11.2% (up to approx. 98 to 99%) |
| Approach: | They propose a semi-automated approach that passes unconfident, probably incorrect classifications to human moderators to minimize the workload. |
| Outcome: | The proposed approach can improve the classification F1-scores by 5.1 to 11.2% (up to approx. 98 to 99%) while reducing the moderation load up to 73.3% compared to a random moderation. |
Word-Level Uncertainty Estimation for Black-Box Text Classifiers using RNNs (2020.coling-main)
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| Challenge: | Neural Networks are not interpretable, since they provide no information about why particular decisions were made. |
| Approach: | They propose to decompose and visualize uncertainty of text classifiers at the level of words to provide detailed explanations of uncertainties. |
| Outcome: | The proposed approach decomposes and visualizes uncertainty of text classifiers at the level of words and enables a deeper understanding of unreliable model behaviours. |
Exploring Predictive Uncertainty and Calibration in NLP: A Study on the Impact of Method & Data Scarcity (2022.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Using low-resource languages, we assess the quality of uncertainty estimates from a wide array of approaches, but with more data. |
| Approach: | They train models on sub-sampled datasets in three different languages to assess the confidence of a neural classifier. |
| Outcome: | The proposed models train on sub-sampled datasets in three different languages and show that the quality of uncertainty estimates suffers with more data. |
Uncertainty Estimation and Reduction of Pre-trained Models for Text Regression (2022.tacl-1)
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| Challenge: | State-of-the-art classification and regression models are often not well calibrated and can be inaccurate. |
| Approach: | They quantify calibration of pre- trained language models for text regression . they apply uncertainty estimates to augment training data in low-resource domains . |
| Outcome: | The proposed model calibrations improve performance and generalizability in low-resource settings. |
Uncertainty Modeling for Machine Comprehension Systems using Efficient Bayesian Neural Networks (2020.coling-industry)
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| Challenge: | Neural approaches have improved machine comprehension tasks, but models often operate as a black-box, resulting in lower interpretability. |
| Approach: | They propose a hybrid approach to quantify model uncertainty using Bayesian weight approximation and boost up inference speed by 80% relative to test time. |
| Outcome: | The proposed approach boosts inference speed by 80% relative to the previous approach and is applied to a clinical dialogue comprehension task. |
Disentangling Uncertainty in Machine Translation Evaluation (2022.emnlp-main)
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| Challenge: | Trainable evaluation metrics for machine translation (MT) exhibit strong correlation with human judgements, but they are often hard to interpret and might produce unreliable scores under noisy or out-of-domain data. |
| Approach: | They propose to use Monte Carlo dropout and deep ensembles to quantify uncertainty in machine translation and assess their ability to target different sources of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. |
| Outcome: | The proposed measures can target different sources of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, with a reduction in computational costs. |
Uncertainty Estimation of Transformer Predictions for Misclassification Detection (2022.acl-long)
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Artem Vazhentsev, Gleb Kuzmin, Artem Shelmanov, Akim Tsvigun, Evgenii Tsymbalov, Kirill Fedyanin, Maxim Panov, Alexander Panchenko, Gleb Gusev, Mikhail Burtsev, Manvel Avetisian, Leonid Zhukov
| Challenge: | Uncertainty estimation (UE) of model predictions is crucial step for a variety of tasks such as active learning, misclassification detection, adversarial attack detection, etc. |
| Approach: | They propose to modify UE methods for Transformer models for misclassification detection in named entity recognition and text classification tasks to improve model expressiveness and computational performance. |
| Outcome: | The proposed methods outperform computationally intensive methods on misclassification detection tasks and are based on a large dataset of simulated datasets. |
Uncertainty Aware Learning for Language Model Alignment (2024.acl-long)
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| Challenge: | Existing alignment strategies that focus on diverse and high-quality data often overlook the intrinsic uncertainty of tasks, learning all data samples equally. |
| Approach: | They propose to introduce the sample uncertainty into the alignment of different task scenarios by a simple fashion by setting the label smoothing value of training according to the uncertainty of individual samples. |
| Outcome: | The proposed model outperforms standard supervised fine-tuning on high-entropy tasks and complex low-entropic tasks. |
On Uncertainty Calibration and Selective Generation in Probabilistic Neural Summarization: A Benchmark Study (2023.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Modern deep models for summarization generate miscalibrated predictive uncertainty, compromising reliability and trustworthiness in real-world applications. |
| Approach: | They propose to use probabilistic methods to improve the uncertainty quality of neural summarization models by using three large-scale benchmarks with varying difficulty. |
| Outcome: | The proposed methods consistently improve the model’s generation and uncertainty quality, leading to improved selective generation performance (i.e., abstaining from low-quality summaries) in practice. |