Challenge: State-of-the-art classification and regression models are often not well calibrated and can be inaccurate.
Approach: They quantify calibration of pre- trained language models for text regression . they apply uncertainty estimates to augment training data in low-resource domains .
Outcome: The proposed model calibrations improve performance and generalizability in low-resource settings.

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Exploring Predictive Uncertainty and Calibration in NLP: A Study on the Impact of Method & Data Scarcity (2022.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Using low-resource languages, we assess the quality of uncertainty estimates from a wide array of approaches, but with more data.
Approach: They train models on sub-sampled datasets in three different languages to assess the confidence of a neural classifier.
Outcome: The proposed models train on sub-sampled datasets in three different languages and show that the quality of uncertainty estimates suffers with more data.
Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A Large-Scale Empirical Analysis (2022.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Pre-trained language models (PLMs) have gained increasing popularity due to compelling prediction performance in diverse natural language processing tasks.
Approach: They compare three popular options for encoding and Temp Scaling for PLMs . they recommend using Temp Loss as uncertainty quantifier and Focal Loss for fine-tuning .
Outcome: Using pre-trained language models, we compare three options on NLP classification tasks and domain shift.
A Close Look into the Calibration of Pre-trained Language Models (2023.acl-long)

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Challenge: Pre-trained language models (PLMs) may fail in giving reliable estimates of their predictive uncertainty.
Approach: They conduct fine-grained control experiments to study the dynamic change in PLMs’ calibration performance in training.
Outcome: The proposed methods significantly reduce PLMs’ confidence in wrong predictions.
Self-calibration for Language Model Quantization and Pruning (2025.naacl-long)

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Challenge: Quantization and pruning are fundamental approaches for model compression, but they require large computational resources.
Approach: They propose to use model calibration data to generate synthetic calibrations to improve model performance.
Outcome: The proposed method outperforms other methods using real data in a post-training setting.
Calibrating Structured Output Predictors for Natural Language Processing (2020.acl-main)

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Challenge: Several modern machine-learning based NLP systems can provide a confidence score with their output predictions.
Approach: They propose a general calibration scheme for output entities of interest in NLP applications that can be used to calibrate confidence scores.
Outcome: The proposed calibration scheme outperforms current calibration techniques for Named Entity Recognition, Part-of-speech tagging and Question Answering systems.
Efficient, Uncertainty-based Moderation of Neural Networks Text Classifiers (2022.findings-acl)

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Challenge: A series of benchmarking experiments based on three different datasets and three state-of-the-art classifiers show that our framework can improve the classification F1-scores by 5.1 to 11.2% (up to approx. 98 to 99%)
Approach: They propose a semi-automated approach that passes unconfident, probably incorrect classifications to human moderators to minimize the workload.
Outcome: The proposed approach can improve the classification F1-scores by 5.1 to 11.2% (up to approx. 98 to 99%) while reducing the moderation load up to 73.3% compared to a random moderation.
Uncertainty in Language Models: Assessment through Rank-Calibration (2024.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Language Models (LMs) have shown promising performance in natural language generation . however, it is crucial to correctly quantify their level of uncertainty in responding to inputs.
Approach: They propose a framework to quantify uncertainty and confidence for Large Language Models . they use a Rank-calibration framework to measure uncertainty and confident responses .
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Uncertainty Estimation of Transformer Predictions for Misclassification Detection (2022.acl-long)

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Challenge: Uncertainty estimation (UE) of model predictions is crucial step for a variety of tasks such as active learning, misclassification detection, adversarial attack detection, etc.
Approach: They propose to modify UE methods for Transformer models for misclassification detection in named entity recognition and text classification tasks to improve model expressiveness and computational performance.
Outcome: The proposed methods outperform computationally intensive methods on misclassification detection tasks and are based on a large dataset of simulated datasets.
Investigating Ensemble Methods for Model Robustness Improvement of Text Classifiers (2022.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Existing methods to reduce model's reliance on bias features ignore the learnability of these features.
Approach: They propose to reduce models' reliance on bias features by first training models with fixed low-capacity models which ignore the learnability of the bias features.
Outcome: The proposed models can perform better on out-of-distribution datasets than baseline models with a more sophisticated model design.
On the Calibration of Large Language Models and Alignment (2023.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Large language models are becoming more popular and are proving to be reliable . however, their reliability is often understudied due to their uncertainty and complex structure .
Approach: They conduct a systematic examination of the calibration of aligned language models throughout the entire construction process including pretraining and alignment training.
Outcome: The results shed light on whether popular large language models are well-calibrated and how the training process influences model calibration.

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