Challenge: Pre-trained language models exhibit few-shot and zero-shot learning capability on tasks such as commonsense reasoning.
Approach: They propose to model context-independent biases in terms of the probability of a choice without the context and to remove it using an unsupervised estimate of similarity with the full context.
Outcome: The proposed model improves over baselines on commonsense reasoning tasks.

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Addressing Blind Guessing: Calibration of Selection Bias in Multiple-Choice Question Answering by Video Language Models (2025.acl-long)

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Challenge: Existing MCQA benchmarks fail to capture the full reasoning capabilities of video language models due to selection bias.
Approach: They propose a method to reduce selection bias in video-to-text LLMs by suppressing "blind guessing" they propose 'bold' calibration technique to balance selection bias.
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Calibrating Zero-shot Cross-lingual (Un-)structured Predictions (2022.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Existing need for model calibration when natural language models are deployed in critical tasks.
Approach: They compare model calibration methods in a context of zero-shot cross-lingual transfer with pre-trained language models.
Outcome: The proposed method fails to calibrate more complex confidence estimations in structured predictions compared to expressive alternatives like Gaussian Process Calibration.
Knowing More About Questions Can Help: Improving Calibration in Question Answering (2021.findings-acl)

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Challenge: Existing work on calibration focuses on model confidence, such as the max probability of the predicted class.
Approach: They propose a calibration method which estimates whether model correctly predicts answer for each question.
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How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answering (2021.tacl-1)

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Challenge: Recent studies have shown that language models capture different types of knowledge regarding facts or commonsense knowledge.
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Calibrating LLM-Based Evaluator (2024.lrec-main)

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Challenge: Existing models for large language models lack the ability to calibrate their outputs towards human preference.
Approach: They propose a multi-stage, gradient-free approach to calibrate an LLM-based evaluator toward human preference.
Outcome: The proposed approach improves correlation with expert evaluation on multiple text quality evaluation datasets.
Task Calibration: Calibrating Large Language Models on Inference Tasks (2025.findings-acl)

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Challenge: Large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive zero-shot performance on inference tasks, however, they may suffer from spurious correlations between input texts and output labels, which limits their ability to reason based purely on general language understanding.
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Language Model Probabilities are Not Calibrated in Numeric Contexts (2025.acl-long)

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Challenge: Using language model outputs, we find that even in simple settings, the best LMs (1) are poorly calibrated and (2) have systematic biases.
Approach: They argue that language model outputs should capture natural distributions over multiple options within their textual contexts.
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Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedback (2023.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Recent studies have shown that unsupervised pre-training produces large language models whose conditional probabilities are remarkably well-calibrated.
Approach: They propose to use verbalized confidences to extract confidence from large language models with reinforcement learning from human feedback to improve their accuracy.
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Calibrating Long-form Generations From Large Language Models (2024.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Conventional calibration methods treat answer correctness as binary and do not work for long-form generation where an answer can be partially correct.
Approach: They propose a framework where correctness of LLMs' responses and associated confidence levels are treated as distributions across a range of scores.
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Rethinking Pragmatics in Large Language Models: Towards Open-Ended Evaluation and Preference Tuning (2024.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Existing methods to assess social-pragmatic inference in large language models are inadequacy, and preferential tuning is the best approach.
Approach: They propose to use free-form models' responses as a measure to assess social-pragmatic reasoning and advocate for preference optimization over supervised finetuning (SFT).
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