Challenge: a new perspective on how readers integrate context during reading time prediction is presented . a recent study shows that the proportion of variance in reading times explained by context is smaller when context is represented by the orthogonalized predictor.
Approach: They propose a technique where they project surprisal onto the orthogonal complement of frequency.
Outcome: The proposed method shows that the proportion of variance in reading times explained by context is smaller when context is represented by the orthogonalized predictor.

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Challenge: Context-dependent predictive processes have been proposed as a core component of the human cognitive system.
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Using surprisal and fMRI to map the neural bases of broad and local contextual prediction during natural language comprehension (2021.findings-acl)

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Challenge: a prior work using surprisal only considered within-sentence context, using n-grams, neural language models, or syntactic structure as conditioning context.
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The Linearity of the Effect of Surprisal on Reading Times across Languages (2023.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: a large amount of insight into human language processing can be gleaned by studying word-by-word processing difficulty.
Approach: They extend the study by examining eyetracking corpora of seven languages . they find evidence for superlinearity in some languages, but highly sensitive to language models .
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When does text prediction benefit from additional context? An exploration of contextual signals for chat and email messages (2021.naacl-industry)

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Challenge: Prior-message context provides the greatest lift in Teams (chat) scenario.
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Coreference-aware Surprisal Predicts Brain Response (2021.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Existing studies have shown that coreference resolution is a key component of language processing and has been used to manipulate variables of interest.
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Why Does Surprisal From Larger Transformer-Based Language Models Provide a Poorer Fit to Human Reading Times? (2023.tacl-1)

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Challenge: Existing studies have shown that larger pre-trained language models with more parameters and lower perplexity are less predictive of human reading times.
Approach: They propose to use a transformer-based model with more parameters and lower perplexity to investigate why these models are less predictive of human reading times.
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Words, Subwords, and Morphemes: What Really Matters in the Surprisal-Reading Time Relationship? (2023.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Existing studies using LLMs on psycholinguistic data have gone unverified . a growing body of research is using word-level prediction as a computational proxy .
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Frequency Explains the Inverse Correlation of Large Language Models’ Size, Training Data Amount, and Surprisal’s Fit to Reading Times (2024.eacl-long)

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Challenge: Recent studies have shown that as Transformer-based language models become larger and are trained on very large amounts of data, the fit of their surprisal estimates to naturalistic human reading times degrades.
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Temperature-scaling surprisal estimates improve fit to human reading times – but does it do so for the “right reasons”? (2024.acl-long)

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Challenge: a wide body of evidence shows that human language processing difficulty is predicted by the information-theoretic measure surprisal, a word’s negative log probability in context.
Approach: They propose to use large language models to predict the surprisal of a word's negative log probability in context to test their predictive power.
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Towards a Similarity-adjusted Surprisal Theory (2024.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Existing studies have shown that surprisal theory ignores the possibility of similarity between words and treats them as distinct entities.
Approach: They propose a new measure of comprehension effort called information value that accounts for communicative equivalences between possible continuations.
Outcome: The proposed measure of comprehension effort is based on the diversity index of the diversity of communicative units.

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