Challenge: Pre-trained language models (PLMs) may fail in giving reliable estimates of their predictive uncertainty.
Approach: They conduct fine-grained control experiments to study the dynamic change in PLMs’ calibration performance in training.
Outcome: The proposed methods significantly reduce PLMs’ confidence in wrong predictions.

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Making Pre-trained Language Models both Task-solvers and Self-calibrators (2023.findings-acl)

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Challenge: Existing work shows that pre-trained language models can be effective for high-stake applications, but they become overconfident in their wrong predictions.
Approach: They propose to use extra data to train pre-trained language models to effectively utilize training samples to make them both task-solvers and self-calibrators.
Outcome: The proposed method can be used in three downstream applications, including selective classification, adversarial defense, and model cascading.
Recent Advances in Pre-trained Language Models: Why Do They Work and How Do They Work (2022.aacl-tutorials)

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Challenge: Pre-trained language models are language models that are pre-taught on large-scaled corpora in a self-supervised fashion.
Approach: This tutorial provides a broad and comprehensive introduction to pre-trained language models . it focuses on emerging methods that enable PLMs to perform diverse downstream tasks .
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On the Calibration of Large Language Models and Alignment (2023.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Large language models are becoming more popular and are proving to be reliable . however, their reliability is often understudied due to their uncertainty and complex structure .
Approach: They conduct a systematic examination of the calibration of aligned language models throughout the entire construction process including pretraining and alignment training.
Outcome: The results shed light on whether popular large language models are well-calibrated and how the training process influences model calibration.
Bag of Tricks for In-Distribution Calibration of Pretrained Transformers (2023.findings-eacl)

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Challenge: Recent studies show that pre-trained language models (PLMs) often predict over-confidently.
Approach: They propose to use ensemble learning and data augmentation to improve confidence calibration for PLMs by combining calibration techniques with a trade-off between accuracy and classification.
Outcome: The proposed calibration method improves classification accuracy and confidence in pre-trained language models by combining several calibration techniques.
Uncertainty Quantification with Pre-trained Language Models: A Large-Scale Empirical Analysis (2022.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Pre-trained language models (PLMs) have gained increasing popularity due to compelling prediction performance in diverse natural language processing tasks.
Approach: They compare three popular options for encoding and Temp Scaling for PLMs . they recommend using Temp Loss as uncertainty quantifier and Focal Loss for fine-tuning .
Outcome: Using pre-trained language models, we compare three options on NLP classification tasks and domain shift.
Calibrating Factual Knowledge in Pretrained Language Models (2022.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Existing studies show that Pretrained Language Models can store factual knowledge, but facts stored in PLMs are not always correct.
Approach: They propose a lightweight method to calibrate factual knowledge in PLMs without re-training from scratch.
Outcome: The proposed method can be used to calibrate factual knowledge in PLMs without re-training from scratch.
How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answering (2021.tacl-1)

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Challenge: Recent studies have shown that language models capture different types of knowledge regarding facts or commonsense knowledge.
Approach: They examine how language models can be calibrated to make their confidence scores correlate better with the likelihood of correctness.
Outcome: The proposed calibration methods improve confidence scores on QA tasks and improve accuracy.
Uncertainty Estimation and Reduction of Pre-trained Models for Text Regression (2022.tacl-1)

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Challenge: State-of-the-art classification and regression models are often not well calibrated and can be inaccurate.
Approach: They quantify calibration of pre- trained language models for text regression . they apply uncertainty estimates to augment training data in low-resource domains .
Outcome: The proposed model calibrations improve performance and generalizability in low-resource settings.
Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedback (2023.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Recent studies have shown that unsupervised pre-training produces large language models whose conditional probabilities are remarkably well-calibrated.
Approach: They propose to use verbalized confidences to extract confidence from large language models with reinforcement learning from human feedback to improve their accuracy.
Outcome: The proposed methods reduce the expected calibration error by 50% for RLHF-LMs such as ChatGPT, GPT-4, and Claude.
On the Importance of Effectively Adapting Pretrained Language Models for Active Learning (2022.acl-short)

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Challenge: Recent active learning approaches in NLP use off-the-shelf pretrained language models (LMs) . a poor training strategy can be catastrophic for AL, authors argue .
Approach: They propose to first adapt the pretrained LM to the target task and then use it for AL.
Outcome: The proposed approach provides substantial data efficiency improvements compared to the standard fine-tuning approach.

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