Challenge: Existing models that predict stock movements are based on time series and technical analysis, but price signals alone fail to capture market surprises and impacts of sudden unexpected events.
Approach: They propose a model that integrates chaotic temporal signals from financial data and social media to create hierarchical temporal networks.
Outcome: The proposed model can be used to forecast stock movements on real-world S&P 500 index data and English tweets.

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Stock Movement Prediction from Tweets and Historical Prices (P18-1)

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Challenge: a novel deep generative model exploits text and price signals to make stochastic stock movement predictions.
Approach: They propose a deep generative model exploiting text and price signals to solve this problem.
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FAST: Financial News and Tweet Based Time Aware Network for Stock Trading (2021.eacl-main)

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Challenge: Existing methods for stock movement prediction are limited and do not account for the fine-grain temporal irregularities in the release of large volumes of text.
Approach: They propose a hierarchical, learning to rank approach that uses textual data to make time-aware predictions for ranking stocks based on expected profit.
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Event-Driven Learning of Systematic Behaviours in Stock Markets (2020.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Using financial news, we can predict stock market behaviours by extracting financial events from the news and ranking the importance of the events.
Approach: They propose to combine open information extraction and neural co-reference resolution to extract financial events from news streams and extend hierarchical attention networks that include attentions on event, news and temporal levels.
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Causality-Guided Multi-Memory Interaction Network for Multivariate Stock Price Movement Prediction (2023.acl-long)

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Challenge: Existing models for stock price movement prediction use auxiliary data, but we assume other stocks should be utilized as auxiliary information to enhance performance.
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Quantitative Day Trading from Natural Language using Reinforcement Learning (2021.naacl-main)

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Challenge: Existing approaches to stock prediction are not optimized to make profitable investment decisions.
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Incorporating Fine-grained Events in Stock Movement Prediction (D19-51)

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Challenge: Existing studies mainly adopt coarse-grained events, which loses the specific semantic information of diverse event types.
Approach: They propose to use a finance event dictionary to extract fine-grained events from finance news to train a neural model that uses the extracted events as the distant supervised label to train stock prediction.
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VolTAGE: Volatility Forecasting via Text Audio Fusion with Graph Convolution Networks for Earnings Calls (2020.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Existing approaches to stock volatility forecasting ignore correlations between stocks.
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Predict the Future from the Past? On the Temporal Data Distribution Shift in Financial Sentiment Classifications (2023.emnlp-main)

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Challenge: Existing methods for financial sentiment analysis use random splits of a dataset into training and testing to ensure there is no distribution shift between training and deployment.
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Financial Forecasting from Textual and Tabular Time Series (2024.findings-emnlp)

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Challenge: Existing models that combine multiple data sources and combine them to form accurate financial predictions are challenging to model without inductive biases.
Approach: They propose to use numerical financial results, macroeconomic states, and long financial documents to model company earnings relative to analyst expectations.
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What You Say and How You Say It Matters: Predicting Stock Volatility Using Verbal and Vocal Cues (P19-1)

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Challenge: Existing studies have shown that textual information in a firm’s financial statement can be used to predict its stock’s risk level.
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