Ekaterina Fadeeva, Roman Vashurin, Akim Tsvigun, Artem Vazhentsev, Sergey Petrakov, Kirill Fedyanin, Daniil Vasilev, Elizaveta Goncharova, Alexander Panchenko, Maxim Panov, Timothy Baldwin, Artem Shelmanov
| Challenge: | Large language models often "hallucinate" i.e., fabricate facts without providing users an apparent means to discern the veracity of their statements. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework with implementations of state-of-the-art UE methods for LLMs with unified program interfaces in Python. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework implements state-of-the-art UE methods for LLMs with unified program interfaces in Python and an extendable benchmark for consistent evaluation by researchers. |
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A Survey of Uncertainty Estimation Methods on Large Language Models (2025.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities but could produce biased, hallucinated, or non-factual responses. |
| Approach: | They propose to conduct extensive experimental evaluations of LLM uncertainty estimation methods . large language models have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across tasks . |
| Outcome: | The proposed method could produce biased, hallucinated, or non-factual responses . a lack of comprehensive surveys on LLM uncertainty estimation is a problem . |
A Survey of Confidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models (2024.naacl-long)
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| Challenge: | Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities across a wide range of tasks in various domains, but they can be unreliable due to factual errors in their generations. |
| Approach: | They summarize recent advances in LLM confidence estimation and calibration and outline their main lessons learned. |
| Outcome: | The proposed methods can be used to assess the reliability of models and to calibrate them across tasks. |
Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models (2025.acl-tutorials)
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| Challenge: | Large language models (LLMs) produce hallucinations, which undermine user trust and reliability. |
| Approach: | This tutorial offers the first systematic introduction to uncertainty quantification (UQ) for LLMs in text generation tasks. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework provides tools for communicating the reliability of a model answer. |
All Roads Lead to Rome: Graph-Based Confidence Estimation for Large Language Model Reasoning (2025.emnlp-main)
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| Challenge: | Existing methods for confidence estimation are primarily designed for factual QA tasks and fail to generalize to reasoning tasks. |
| Approach: | They propose a set of training-free, graph-based confidence estimation methods tailored to reasoning tasks that exploit graph properties such as centrality, path convergence, and path weighting. |
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GENUINE: Graph Enhanced Multi-level Uncertainty Estimation for Large Language Models (2025.findings-emnlp)
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| Challenge: | Existing methods for estimation of uncertainty overlook semantic dependencies, authors say . genUINE: Graph ENhanced mUlti-level uncertainty Estimation for Large Language Models leverages dependency parse trees and hierarchical graph pooling . |
| Approach: | They propose a graph-enhanced mUlti-level uncertaINty estimation framework that leverages dependency parse trees and hierarchical graph pooling to refine uncertainty quantification. |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework achieves higher AUROC and lower calibration errors than existing methods. |
Uncertainty in Language Models: Assessment through Rank-Calibration (2024.emnlp-main)
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Xinmeng Huang, Shuo Li, Mengxin Yu, Matteo Sesia, Hamed Hassani, Insup Lee, Osbert Bastani, Edgar Dobriban
| Challenge: | Language Models (LMs) have shown promising performance in natural language generation . however, it is crucial to correctly quantify their level of uncertainty in responding to inputs. |
| Approach: | They propose a framework to quantify uncertainty and confidence for Large Language Models . they use a Rank-calibration framework to measure uncertainty and confident responses . |
| Outcome: | The proposed framework assesses uncertainty and confidence measures for LMs. |
Harnessing the Power of Large Language Model for Uncertainty Aware Graph Processing (2024.lrec-main)
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| Challenge: | Existing methods for graph processing rely on assumptions about data relations that are inadequate when handling large and complex graph data. |
| Approach: | They propose a large language model enhanced by an uncertainty-aware module to provide a confidence score on the generated graph data. |
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Exploring Graph Learning Tasks with Pure LLMs: A Comprehensive Benchmark and Investigation (2026.findings-acl)
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| Challenge: | Recent studies focus on performance benchmarks without fully comparing LLMs to graph learning models. |
| Approach: | They evaluate off-the-shelf and instruction-tuned graph learning models across a variety of scenarios. |
| Outcome: | The proposed models outperform traditional graph learning models in few-shot settings, the authors show . their models out perform models with instruction tuning, and they show excellent generalization and robustness. |
Reconsidering LLM Uncertainty Estimation Methods in the Wild (2025.acl-long)
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Yavuz Faruk Bakman, Duygu Nur Yaldiz, Sungmin Kang, Tuo Zhang, Baturalp Buyukates, Salman Avestimehr, Sai Praneeth Karimireddy
| Challenge: | Existing studies evaluate UE methods in short-form QA settings, but real-world deployment presents several challenges. |
| Approach: | They examine UE methods' sensitivity to decision threshold selection and their robustness to query transformations such as typos and adversarial prompts. |
| Outcome: | The proposed methods exhibit robustness against typos, adversarial prompts, and prior chat history, and are highly susceptible to adversarials. |
Methods for Estimating and Improving Robustness of Language Models (2022.naacl-srw)
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| Challenge: | Large language models suffer from weak generalisation ability due to shallow textual relations over full semantic complexity of the problem. |
| Approach: | They propose to incorporate some of these measures into training objectives to enhance distributional robustness of LLMs. |
| Outcome: | The proposed models outperform human models on complex tasks and outperformed other models on deep networks. |